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2013 American foal crop predicted to hold steady

THE 2013 North American foal crop is likely to be a similar size to 2012, thus potentially halting seven consecutive years of declines.

Matt Iuliano, executive vice president and executive director of the American Jockey Club, announced on Saturday that the organisation has projected a 2013 foal crop of approximately 24,700, the same number predicted last summer for the 2012 crop.

The projection, which covers the US, Canada and Puerto Rico, is computed by using Reports of Mares Bred received to date for the 2012 breeding season. The deadline for reports to be filed was August 1.

Last October, the Jockey Club reported that 35,304 mares - a drop of 13 per cent from 2012 but excluding the traditional late returns which historically number between 3,500 and 4,000 mares - were covered by 2,095 stallions. Of those mares, 5,576 were based in Kentucky. The busiest stallion was Congrats, who covered 205 mares at Vinery in Kentucky following a strong start to his stud career.

The foal crop has shrunk by approximately 30 per cent since 2005 and should the latest projection prove correct, the 2013 crop will be the smallest since 1971 when 24,301 foals were registered.

Iuliano also announced that the foal crop projections for 2010 and 2011 have been revised downward by 1,500 foals for each year.
As a result, the projected foal crop for 2010 now stands at 28,500 and the estimate for 2011 is now 25,500.

"We have revised downward the estimates for the foal crops of 2010 and 2011 by 1,500 foals each," Iuliano said. "The rate of registered foals produced from the number of mares bred has not met historical rates for these two foal crops."




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